Sadiq Khan

Sadiq Khan’s comfortable victory in London as Mayor was a delivered by overwhelmingly winning over London’s non-white voters, an initial analysis by Political Scrapbook has found.

All of London’s areas with a concentration of ethnic minority voters went primarily for Khan, the results from the live-count show.

Here is a map of London areas with the highest concentrations of ethnic minorities.

London map

The areas with the highest Asian populations in London are: Newham, Redbridge, Brent, Tower Hamlets, Harrow, Ealing and Hounslow.

The areas with the highest black populations in London: Lambeth, Southwark, Lewisham and Croydon, Newham, Brent and Hackney.

These constituencies correlate closely with areas where Sadiq Khan did best against Goldsmith

Non white Londoners

 

Goldsmith’s campaign to tie Khan to extremism hoped to switch London’s Indian (Sikh and Hindu) voters – but that seems to have backfired. Areas with a relatively higher proportion of Indian voters (Ealing, Brent, Harrow, Hounslow) seem to have gone for Khan, according to an initial look at figures.

More detailed figures will be released in coming days.

 

As one Tory said today, this was a ‘dog whistle [campaign] in a city with no dogs’

  1. While I’m sure there’s a correlation I doubt that’s the full story as numbers would not work. A lot of people don’t like smears and racism, whatever their ethnic background. I’m a 61 year old white British woman who is proud to say I also voted for him!

  2. I also don’t agree with the surmise. Many of my Indian friends, now naturalised Brits, voted for Zac, not because of believing his smear campaign, but because they are convinced Tories. This sort of simplification misrepresents.

  3. A lot of people voted on party lines, I did, I am labour, they would of had to put Blair up for me not to vote labour

  4. Data nerd of colour says:

    For this analysis to be meaningful, you would have to compare this to previous borough vote proportions along party lines. Given that ethnic minorities are more likely to vote Labour anyway, you really need to compare it to previous Labour vote share.

  5. I dare say this shouldn’t be a surprise. Ethnic Minority voters are more likely to vote Labour. What would be interesting to know is whether their vote share has increased among indian voters compared to previous elections. Even if it did, we can’t be sure it was due to a rejection of dog-whistle tactics by those who previously voted tory.

  6. This might have been a factor, but only one factor.

    Other factors would have been the vast labour workforce in London who are union members. My union mailed me three times and emailed me four times urging me to vote for Sadiq Khan. That’s a marketing advantage other parties didn’t have! Many union members expect following union advice to enhance their job security and just vote as told. This kind of unfair advantage should be stopped. It should be included in election rules.

    Union membership probably has a greater correlation with those who voted Labour in the GE last year and this is simply following suit again.

    Getting votes from both union members and the BaME populace of London swung it. Policy and costing was clearly irrelevant to his campaign. Snatching a bit from the other parties with credible costed policy but unable to say how he’d deliver and quickly changing the conversation to avoid being asked. Now he’s rolling out Caroline’s travel & air quality policies as his own.

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