The Bristol mayoral vote is less than a week away, and the latest opinion polls are throwing up some seriously interesting results — including Liberal Democrat candidate Jon Rogers coming fifth, with only 3% of the vote.

Such a result might not at first seem surprising, given that Nick Clegg’s party has been floundering in polls across the country since entering into coalition with the Conservatives. However Bristol City Council is controlled by the Lib Dems, even after the 2011 local elections, and they hold one of the city’s four Parliament seats.

It is as close to Lib Dem heartland as one gets, nowadays, and the party will be intensely disappointed with such a poor omen — seeing them lose their deposit if borne out on Thursday.

Additionally, the poll had independent George Ferguson in second place, with 9%. However, despite his independent selling pitch he was, erm, a Lib Dem member until he quit in order to stand for mayor, and even served as a Liberal councillor in the 70s.

Ferguson’s sudden “independence” wouldn’t have anything to do with wanting to dodge Jon Rogers’ fate, would it?

  1. Keep in mind that survey did say that 53% of those who said they would vote were unsure which way they’d vote with the top candidate in the survey only getting 21% and 2nd and 3rd with 9% and 7%. Of course any figures are gonna look bad with that large a gap. I don’t think they will win but I certainly don’t believe they’ll only get that much of the vote

  2. The Greens are polling 4th
    If people vote Green 1, other 2, then they can really help condemn the LibDems to 5th and make them regret their role in the cuts.

  3. It’s hardly LibDem heartland ! Stephen Williams won Bristol West (thousands of students) in 2010 with the tuition fee con, just like in Norwich South and elsewhere. The Lib Dems won the council last time around not with a big increase in votes but through Labour voters staying at home in droves, presumably terminally disillusioned with New Labour. Bristol was the only major city last time to vote to have a mayor, yes, but anecdotally a big factor was Bristol City fans thinking they would be more likely to get planning permission for a new stadium that way !

  4. They had the chance to do something good for this country. They blew it.
    The only place they are going is back on the train to oblivion in 2015, from whence they came.
    If they like they can take their tory bedfellows with them.
    And if there’s sufficient room on the train, liebour should get on too.

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