Jul/10
08:33 10
YouGov: Goat more popular than Lib Dems
It’s the goat story that shows no signs of slowing down! This week, Scrapbook reported that after showing up the Treasury’s “Spending Challenge” site, many were wondering how long it would be until the goat* became more popular than the Liberal Democrats.
Well, it appears we need ponder no longer. A YouGov poll, released this week, puts the Liberal Democrats on a lowly 13%. As this is an evidence-based gossip blog, Scrapbook set about poring over the figures and discovered something explosive: the goat already has more followers than the Lib Dems.
In a poll of over 2000 people, just 243 said they would vote for the junior coalition partners if there was an election tomorrow.
Meanwhile, over 900 people have been swept up in Goatmania**.
*As co-owners, Scrapbook would rather not be involved in the factionalism that threatens to tear the left apart over the issue of naming the goat.
**If you’re still unsure why you should #VoteGoat, read this.
Mar/10
00:42 1
Anxious Tory sweat part deux
Poll watching is done better and more quickly by other blogs but, while not wishing to tempt fate, tomorrow’s Mirror front page is a corker for its playground cheek:
Labour may breathe a sigh of relief with polls showing a “conspicuous lack of impact” from the fake lobbyists sting and no boost for “Sam Cam the Mam”. LabourList calculates that both return Labour as the biggest party on a uniform swing.
Is that the smell of anxious sweat again?
Mar/10
06:30 142
Times/Populus poll puts Labour and Tories “neck and neck” in crucial marginal seats
A Populus survey for The Times has Labour level pegging with the Tories in the crucial seats that will decide the next election.
- The Times’ Peter Riddel writes: “The poll suggests that recent talk of a Tory “wobble” has affected voters’ expectations” with “a swing of about 6.7 per cent to the Tories from Labour since 2005 in those seats”.
- Anthony Wells at UK Polling Report calculates that “the swing this poll suggests in the marginals is the equivalent of a 10 point lead nationally, a larger lead than most polls from other companies have been showing in recent weeks”.
In YouGov’s daily poll the Tories maintain their slender five point gap over Labour with both parties up 1 against the Lib Dems.
Curioser and curioser.
Jan/10
20:48 8
Labour leap to 29-point lead in shock new poll
Rather than a poll of Joe Public, however, politicos will be unsurprised to discover that this was a survey of voluntary sector workers asked which party would be best for charities and other non-profits.
Still, the third sector is central to current Conservative thinking and yet charity staff collectively retch at the prospect of Cameron in Number 10.
Long memories, eh?
Hat-tip: LabourList
Dec/09
20:39 6
Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of majority
Peter Riddell reports that the latest Populus poll for The Times shows the Conservative lead cut to single digits for the first time this year. If this was replicated nationally on election day, running these through Electoral Calculus shows that the outcome would be a hung parliament with David Cameron 20 seats short of a majority.
As rumours of the figures spread across the twittersphere, one leading Tory blogger poured cold water on this filip to Labour activists:
As his friends will testify, Scrapbook is always up for a bit of nonsense and wouldn’t want to disappoint the bear.
Game on!
Nov/09
19:43 5
Political Betting poll brings Labour supporters back to earth with a bump
A day after many Labourites cracked a smile at MORI polling showing a dramatically reduced lead for the Conservatives, a Political Betting poll with fieldwork finishing today shows, erm, well…
Nov/09
14:28 10
Observer poll slashes Tory lead to six points
As Kevin Maguire tweeted, “one poll doesn’t make a Labour Spring”, but the latest Ipsos MORI poll certainly does make a very welcome Sunday morning tonic for Labour supporters (god knows Scrapbook needed one).
Reaction:
- The Observer front page article
- Bob Worcester of Ipsos MORI: Why the Tories are worried and the Lib Dems are hopeful
- Political Betting: Has Labour got a by-election poll boost from MORI?
- A word of warning from Alex Smith over at LabourList
As Labour’s newest MP said nine days ago, “game on”!
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