Mar/10
06:30 11
Times/Populus poll puts Labour and Tories “neck and neck” in crucial marginal seats
A Populus survey for The Times has Labour level pegging with the Tories in the crucial seats that will decide the next election.
- The Times’ Peter Riddel writes: “The poll suggests that recent talk of a Tory “wobble” has affected voters’ expectations” with “a swing of about 6.7 per cent to the Tories from Labour since 2005 in those seats”.
- Anthony Wells at UK Polling Report calculates that “the swing this poll suggests in the marginals is the equivalent of a 10 point lead nationally, a larger lead than most polls from other companies have been showing in recent weeks”.
In YouGov’s daily poll the Tories maintain their slender five point gap over Labour with both parties up 1 against the Lib Dems.
Curioser and curioser.
Jan/10
20:48 8
Labour leap to 29-point lead in shock new poll
Rather than a poll of Joe Public, however, politicos will be unsurprised to discover that this was a survey of voluntary sector workers asked which party would be best for charities and other non-profits.
Still, the third sector is central to current Conservative thinking and yet charity staff collectively retch at the prospect of Cameron in Number 10.
Long memories, eh?
Hat-tip: LabourList
Dec/09
20:39 6
Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of majority
Peter Riddell reports that the latest Populus poll for The Times shows the Conservative lead cut to single digits for the first time this year. If this was replicated nationally on election day, running these through Electoral Calculus shows that the outcome would be a hung parliament with David Cameron 20 seats short of a majority.
As rumours of the figures spread across the twittersphere, one leading Tory blogger poured cold water on this filip to Labour activists:
As his friends will testify, Scrapbook is always up for a bit of nonsense and wouldn’t want to disappoint the bear.
Game on!
Nov/09
19:43 5
Political Betting poll brings Labour supporters back to earth with a bump
A day after many Labourites cracked a smile at MORI polling showing a dramatically reduced lead for the Conservatives, a Political Betting poll with fieldwork finishing today shows, erm, well…
Nov/09
14:28 10
Observer poll slashes Tory lead to six points
As Kevin Maguire tweeted, “one poll doesn’t make a Labour Spring”, but the latest Ipsos MORI poll certainly does make a very welcome Sunday morning tonic for Labour supporters (god knows Scrapbook needed one).
Reaction:
- The Observer front page article
- Bob Worcester of Ipsos MORI: Why the Tories are worried and the Lib Dems are hopeful
- Political Betting: Has Labour got a by-election poll boost from MORI?
- A word of warning from Alex Smith over at LabourList
As Labour’s newest MP said nine days ago, “game on”!
Palin-O-Meter
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