Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of majority

Peter Riddell reports that the latest Populus poll for The Times shows the Conservative lead cut to single digits for the first time this year. If this was replicated nationally on election day, running these through Electoral Calculus shows that the outcome would be a hung parliament with David Cameron 20 seats short of a majority.

Electoral Calculus prediction

As rumours of the figures spread across the twittersphere, one leading Tory blogger poured cold water on this filip to Labour activists:

Torybear poll tweet

As his friends will testify, Scrapbook is always up for a bit of nonsense and wouldn’t want to disappoint the bear.

Game on!

6 Trackbacks

  1. By Political Scrapbook on December 7, 2009 at 8:41 pm

    New post –> Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of a majority http://bit.ly/71aocQ @torybear #gameon #nonsense

  2. By Ben Furber on December 7, 2009 at 8:41 pm

    RT @psbook: New post –> Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of a majority http://bit.ly/71aocQ @torybear #gameon #nonsense

  3. By Steve Hanlon on December 7, 2009 at 8:43 pm

    RT @psbook: New post –> Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of a majority http://bit.ly/71aocQ @torybear #gameon #nonsense

  4. By Josh Worrad on December 7, 2009 at 8:49 pm

    RT @psbook: New post –> Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of a majority http://bit.ly/71aocQ >>>> 74 or 92 or Truman 48? #gameon

  5. By Ged Robinson on December 7, 2009 at 9:01 pm

    RT @psbook: New post –> Populus poll would leave Cameron 20 short of a majority http://bit.ly/71aocQ @torybear #gameon #nonsense

  6. By Joey-Elijah on December 8, 2009 at 7:25 pm

    Totally missed the latest poll showing tories would be 20 short of a majority http://tr.im/H2Ka. Seems it really is #gameon !

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