Liberal Democrat ethnic minority candidates: those odds in full

Horsey man John McCririck

This aftertoon Nick Clegg told the Liberal Democrats’ annual conference that he wants “to live in a country where prejudice, insularity and fear are conquered by the great British traditions of tolerance, pluralism and justice”. Unfortunately appeals to pluralism sit uneasy alongside the fact that the Lib Dems don’t have a single black or Asian MP or MEP.

In fairness, however, a blog on the lack of any BME candidates for the top-25 Liberal target seats sparked a pretty decent debate in the comments:

This is an issue; we should have done more, sooner. We didn’t. We didn’t because we had an internal row over what to do and ended up doing nothing. That’s not right, but it’s the kind of mess-up that democracies have from time to time – Lib Dem blogger Richard Gadsden

So there are four Asian PPCs in their top 100 target seats. It’s one thing staring at majorities but the nice traders at Ladbrokes who were very helpful in pricing up these constituencies especially for Scrapbook (remarkably short odds for Manchester Gorton given the majority):

Parmjit Singh Gill

Target #29: Leicester South – Parmjit Singh Gill – 11/10

Qassim Afzal

Target #73: Manchester Gorton – Qassim Afzal – 6/4

Zuffar Haq

Target #31: Harborough – Zuffar Haq – 8/1

Afzal Anwar

Target #53: Pendle – Afzal Anwar – 40/1

Although Gill may break through in Leicester, this spread shows the Liberal Democrats have clearly failed to get serious on BME candidates. To make matters worse, they have now missed the selection boat and the issue will be hanging around their necks like a massive “kick me” sign until after next May. Scrapbook has already spoken to one Labour election agent whose draw dropped at the Liberal’s precarious position on this.

This is a gift horse for the other parties in tight Asian-heritage council seats.

9 Comments

  1. Posted September 23, 2009 at 5:36 pm | Permalink

    Afzal Anwar will get elected, he has the very best general election campaign team in the UK behind him.

    Afzal is going to give Andrew Stephenson the Tory and Gordon Prentice the Labour party candidates a run for their money.

  2. Posted September 23, 2009 at 5:41 pm | Permalink

    Are you on crack?

  3. Posted September 23, 2009 at 8:05 pm | Permalink

    No I am not on crack but I do know that Afzal Anwar is set to win Pendle at the next general election.

  4. Posted September 24, 2009 at 1:38 pm | Permalink

    If the Lib Dems take Pendle i will run through the central lobby of parliament naked singing your song of choice.

  5. Posted September 24, 2009 at 2:01 pm | Permalink

    £20 says that Anwar will still be a barrister on 7 May 2010. What do you say, Irfan?

  6. Posted September 24, 2009 at 3:27 pm | Permalink

    @Tory Bear It has to be twinkle twinkle little star.

    @Scrapbook I don’t bet due to religious teachings but if Anwar doesn’t win I will give £20 to any charity of your choice

  7. Posted September 24, 2009 at 5:54 pm | Permalink

    But Irfan. If it’s such a dead certainty then it isn’t gambling and therefore not Haram. Remember – this is a sure thing!

  8. Posted September 24, 2009 at 7:50 pm | Permalink

    Very funny PS.

    It’s actually the biggest gamble anyone who doubts Anwar’s chances will ever face. Afzal will take Pendle leaving people like you shocked…

  9. Posted September 25, 2009 at 1:05 am | Permalink

    As you say PS the odds for Qassim Afzal in Gorton are extraordinary. I’ve got a copy of his latest crappy newspaper here. He has a different approach to election exes and printing than Leech. The P and P is hidden on this one. It is the same alleged printing company that he had in 2005 as the nominally sole supplier of ALL the election exes. NONE of the actual supplier invoices or vouchers were produced. Ridiculous really. Ignoring the Euros – where the LDs did lose a seat in reality, QA has lost his last two/three elections badly I think. One/two at Town Hall level. Election fail. And he’ll not win in Gorton. He’s an idiotic choice, in both readings.

    Perhaps the odds are for him to be on the ballot paper and not get tipped out by another candidate?

    Or perhaps they are in effect betting on Sir Gerald not been on the paper? Even if that came to pass I don’t think the LDs could win this one. Not with Qassim.

    I don’t think the LDs in the area have the resource to try and fail to save Cheadle, to try and fail to save Rochdale, to try and fail to save Man Wit, and to try and fail to gain in MG and Oldham/Saddleworth.

4 Trackbacks

  1. By Political Scrapbook on September 23, 2009 at 4:15 pm

    New post –> The bookies’ odds on Lib Dem ethnic minority candidates http://is.gd/3Bp6U

  2. By Political Scrapbook on September 23, 2009 at 4:18 pm

    @irfanahmed You can get 40/1 for Anwar to win in Pendle. Going to put your money where your moth is? ;-) http://is.gd/3Bp6U

  3. By Scrapbook Flirt on September 24, 2009 at 1:17 am

    Liberal Democrat ethnic minority candidates: those odds in full … http://bit.ly/EKUne

  4. By Political Scrapbook on September 24, 2009 at 12:52 pm

    @irfanahmed might want to check the comments here http://is.gd/3D9gK . What would be your song of choice?

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